In August, some other weather company launched a 45-day forecast for any location in the United States. Now this may sound impressive, but to the informed (such as Capital Weather Gang’s chief meteorologist Jason Samenow), it’s a joke.
Interested people, including many professional meteorologists, have compared this 45-day forecast to actual observations for each day during the time period. What they concluded shouldn’t be a surprise — the 45-day forecast was largely off the mark and inaccurate. Most of the time, it wasn’t even close.
As you may know, “the discipline of meteorology is far from an exact science and is more about understanding a fluid atmosphere then analyzing past movement to predict what it will do in the future” according to the Capital Weather Gang. Turns out that predicting the future is a lot harder than it seems.
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-The WeatherBug – Earth Networks Team